$3.8 billion in value added, 48,000 jobs and $400 million in state and local tax revenue are the predicted 2009 financial impacts of the Marcellus Shale development in Pennsylvania, according to a study by Professors Considine and Watson of the Dept. of Energy and Mineral Engineering, College of Earth & Mineral Sciences of The Pennsylvania State University. The study is entitled: An Emerging Giant: Prospects and Economic Impacts of Developing the Marcellus Shale Natural Gas Play and was released on July 24th.
Among the other findings are:
- Each Marcellus well generates $6.2 million in economic impact
- In 2010 more than 1000 wells are expected to be drilled
- Marcellus producers spent about $3.09 billion in 2008 and most of it was spent in Pennsylvania on supplier and landowner payments
- Development of the Marcellus resource is in the “ramping up” phase. Drilling nationwide in the first quarter of 2009 was DOWN 21% from last year, while drilling in Pennsylvania appears to be UP 22$ during the first five months of 2009
- Pennsylvania drilling activity has far exceeded West Virginia’s, which the study attributes in part to the low tax climate in Pennsylvania compared to West Virginia, which has a gas severance tax of 5% + 4.7 cents per mcf and a property tax on oil and gas equivalent to about 5% of gas sales.
- Imposition of the presently proposed severance tax in Pennsylvania would result in an 11% decline in IRR, 30% reduction in wells drilled and a reduction of $880 million in tax revenue collected (in present value) between 2009 and 2020.
Click here for a link to the study.